|09/09/22||Different is Good|
|09/02/22||Just the Point|
|08/26/22||Variety: the Spice of NASCAR|
|08/11/22||Fair is Fair|
|08/04/22||The End Justifies the Means|
|07/14/22||The Intimidation Game|
Ten winners and holding
We are now halfway to the Chase and we're at 10 winners and holding. All the talk about how a win won't necessarily get you in the Chase is dissipating. I continue to feel confident that we will not see six new sinners in the next 13 races.
History says it won't happen; and so do the statistics. There are currently six drivers who have, at least, five-top 5s. Matt Kenseth is the only one of the six who has yet to win. Ten drivers have finished in the top 10 at least six times. Of them only Kenseth and Paul Menard have yet to win.
Just like in the Chase, when it seems like the Chase drivers collect all the hardware, it's a simple case of the cream rising to the top.
Now the math. We could easily see a wild card win at one of the road courses or Daytona. That leaves four sports (assuming the points leader has a win). Based on how they're running right now, who would you put on the winners list? Kenseth certainly. Maybe Brian Vickers, Clint Bowyer or Tony Stewart? Maybe Greg Biffle or Kasey Kahne or Ryan Newman could put it together for one day.
All this is assuming that the ten drivers who have already won can only win 7 of the next 13 races; combined.
In other words, fans of the one-win guys; rest easy, your spot in the Chase is assured.