Here we go again.

When someone wins a race, we, in the media, say that he's got a spot in the Chase.  Well, again this year, that isn't setting well with some fans who are quick to point out that, until they win that second race, nothing is locked in.

While, technically, that is true, the chances that we have at least 17 different winners in the first 26 races, are minuscule.  In other words, it's not going to happen.

In 2014, we had 7 different winners in the first 9 races.  This year?  Seven different winners in the first 9 races.

Even after the next three races yielded three new winners (that was 10 in 12 races), we still only had 13 different winners by the time we'd finished 26 races.

To this point, the only driver with a win who didn't win last year is Matt Kenseth.

History and logic says there is no way there will be 10 new winners in the next 17 races.

By the way, you know how many different winners we had in the entire 2014 season?  The same 13 we had before the Chase.